Title: | Land use and food security in 2050 : a narrow road ; Agrimonde-Terra |
Authors: | Chantal Le Mouel, Editor ; Marie De Lattre-Gasquet, Editor ; Olivier Mora, Editor |
Publisher: | Versailles : QUAE Éditions, 2018 |
ISBN (or other code): | 978-2-7592-2879-9 |
Size: | 1 vpl. (398 p.) / ill. / 21 cm |
Languages: | English |
Descriptors: |
[Eurovoc] AGRICULTURE, FORESTRY AND FISHERIES > cultivation of agricultural land > land use [Eurovoc] AGRICULTURE, FORESTRY AND FISHERIES > farming systems > agricultural holding [Eurovoc] ENVIRONMENT > environmental policy > climate change policy > adaptation to climate change [Eurovoc] SOCIAL QUESTIONS > health > nutrition > food security |
Abstract: |
After a first foresight study on ‘World food security in 2050’ (Agrimonde), CIRAD and INRA have turned their attention to a new foresight exercise on ‘Land use and food security in 2050’ (Agrimonde-Terra). This new study seeks to highlight levers that could modify ongoing land-use patterns for improved food and nutrition security.
Agrimonde-Terra proposes a trend analysis on the global context, climate change, food diets, urban-rural linkages, farm structures, cropping and livestock systems, and explores five scenarios. Three scenarios entitled ‘Metropolization’, ‘Regionalization’ and ‘Households’ are based on current competing trends identified in most world regions. Two scenarios entitled ‘Healthy’ and ‘Communities’ involve potential breaks that could change the entire land use and food security system. The ‘Healthy’ scenario is the only one that makes it possible to achieve sustainable world food and nutrition security in 2050. Nevertheless, current trends in agricultural and food systems in most parts of the world converge towards the ‘Metropolization’ scenario, which is not sustainable in terms of both land use and human health. Therefore, changing the course of ongoing trends in favor of sustainable land uses and healthy food systems will be one of the main challenges of the next decades. It will require systemic transformation, strong and coherent public policies across sectors and scales, and consistent actions from a wide range of actors. This foresight provides a large information base on land uses, food systems and food security and constitutes a tool box to stimulate debates, imagine new policies and innovations. It aims to empower decision makers, stakeholders, non-governmental organizations and researchers to develop a constructive dialogue on the futures of land uses and food security at either world, regional and national levels. |
Contents note: |
1. The ’Land Use and Food Security’ System, Marie de Lattre-Gasquet, Chantal Le Mouël and Olivier Mora
2. Agrimonde-Terra’s Foresight Approach to Scenario Construction, Olivier Mora and Marie de Lattre-Gasquet 3. The GlobAgri-Agrimonde-Terra Database and Model, Chantal Le Mouël, Patrice Dumas, Stéphane Manceron, Agneta Forslund and Elodie Marajo-Petitzon 4. Land-use Change Trajectories in Existing Scenario Studies, Chantal Le Mouël and Agneta Forslund 5. Retrospective Overview of Land Uses at Global Level and by World Regions, Marie de Lattre-Gasquet, Marco Barzman, Pauline Marty and Clémence Moreau 6. The Global Context, Marie de Lattre-Gasquet and Clémence Moreau 7. Climate Change: Impacts and Mitigation, Thierry Brunelle, Patrice Dumas, Christophe Cassen, Stéphane Manceron, Elodie Marajo-Petitzon and Véronique Lamblin 8. Dietary Changes, Nutrition Transition and the Future of Global Diets, Olivier Mora 9. Urbanization, Rural Transformation and Future Urban-Rural Linkages, Olivier Mora, Frédéric Lançon and Francis Aubert 10. Farm Structures: Current Shaping Forces and Future Farms, Catherine Donnars, Marie de Lattre-Gasquet, Jacques Marzin and Laurent Piet 11. Cropping Systems, Olivier Réchauchère, David Makowski, Eric Malézieux and Florent Maraux 12. Livestock Systems, Stéphane Manceron, Patrice Dumas, Clémence Moreau, Alexandre Ickowicz, Philippe Lecomte and Philippe Lescoat 13. Scenarios of Land Use and Food Security in 2050, Olivier Mora 14. Land-use Change Impacts of the Agrimonde-Terra Scenarios: An Assessment with the GlobAgri-AgT Model, Chantal Le Mouël and Elodie Marajo-Petitzon 15. Regional Dimension of the Agrimonde-Terra Scenarios: The Example of sub-Saharan Africa, Marie de Lattre-Gasquet, Clémence Moreau and John Okul 16. Lessons on Land Use and Food Security from the Scenarios, Chantal Le Mouël, Olivier Mora and Marie de Lattre-Gasquet 17. Options for public policies, Marie de Lattre-Gasquet |
Copies (1)
Barcode | Call number | Media type | Location | Section | Status |
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006403 | V 569 | Livre | Centre de documentation du CERDI / Ecole d'Economie | Salle de lecture | Available |
E-copies (1)
Version en ligne URL |