Titre : | Sovereign Debt Risk in Emerging Countries: Does Inflation Targeting Adoption Make Any Difference? |
Auteurs : | Hippolyte Wenéyam Balima ; Jean-Louis Combes ; Alexandru Minea |
Type de document : | Working Paper |
Mention d'édition : | February 2015 |
Editeur : | Clermont-Ferrand : Centre d'études et de recherches sur le développement international (Cerdi), 2015 |
Collection : | Études et Documents Cerdi, ISSN 2114-7957, num. 04 |
Format : | 41 p. |
Langues: | Anglais |
Catégories : |
[Eurovoc] ÉCONOMIE > situation économique > cycle économique > inflation [Eurovoc] ÉCONOMIE > situation économique > développement économique > nouveau pays industrialisé [Eurovoc] FINANCES > libre circulation des capitaux > marché financier > risque financier [Eurovoc] FINANCES > relations monétaires > finances internationales > dette extérieure [JEL] G - Économie financière > G1 - Marchés financiers généraux > G15 - Marchés financiers internationaux [JEL] H - Économie publique > H6 - Budget national, déficit et dette > H63 - Dette et gestion de la dette |
Tags : | inflation targeting ; sovereign debt ratings ; government bond yield spreads ; emerging markets ; propensity scores matching |
Résumé : | Based on a sample of 38 emerging countries, we find that inflation targeting (IT) adoption improves sovereign debt risk. However, we show that IT adoption effectiveness is sensitive to several structural characteristics, such as the phase of the business cycle, the fiscal stance, and the level of development. In addition, the measure of the risk, namely ratings (rating agencies) or bond yield spreads (markets), as well as the form of IT (full-fledged or partial) is equally crucial for the effects of IT adoption on sovereign debt risk. Thus, our paper provides valuable insights for IT implementation as a device for improving emerging market economies’ access to international financial markets for financing long-term investment projects and supporting potential economic growth. |
Axe de recherche : | Financement du développement |
En ligne : | https://halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr/halshs-01128239 |